• Tesla has said that its highly anticipated entry-level EV remains in development and continues to evolve.
  • Despite this promise, there’s still no set launch date in sight, and it could be several years away.
  • A small crossover-style hatchback priced at $25,000 could boost sales, but success hinges on market conditions.

The prospect of a more affordable Tesla EV has been floating around for longer than many care to admit, with reports about its development oscillating between hopeful and contradictory. The idea of a smaller, mass-produced Tesla is undeniably appealing to investors, but is it really the solution the brand needs in today’s unpredictable market?

Is the Tesla Model 2 still in the works?

In April, Tesla debunked viral reports claiming the cancellation of their entry-level EV project, with Elon Musk labeling them outright fabrications. Shortly after, design chief Franz von Holzhausen teased fans to “stay tuned,” leaving everyone guessing about the mysterious model. This likely suggests that Tesla still has something worthwhile in the pipeline, despite shifting much of its focus to the highly touted robotaxi project.

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The bottom line is that the much-discussed Tesla Model 2 has no official launch date, and details on its design remain as elusive as a fleeting ghost. Still, our artists have crafted speculative renderings of a five-door body style that intriguingly blurs the lines between hatchbacks and crossovers. Despite its compact size, this baby Tesla could deliver decent practicality, leveraging the smart design inherent in its electric architecture.

What’s the competition?

Depending on the market, such an offering would likely compete with electric hatchbacks like the VW ID.3 and MG4, as well as similarly sized crossovers such as the Renault Megane E-Tech and the upcoming Nissan Leaf. More importantly, it could establish a fresh entry point in Tesla’s lineup, positioned beneath the Model 3 sedan and Model Y crossover in terms of pricing.

 Tesla Model 2: Will A $25K Small Crossover Hit The Spot For EV Buyers?
Illustrations Jean Francois Hubert/SB-Medien

A more affordable EV starting at around $25,000 could indeed provide Tesla with a much-needed sales boost. However, let’s not kid ourselves; as many carmakers realized this year, navigating the EV landscape isn’t as straightforward as it sounds. Launching a new model demands hefty investments in production and R&D, and Tesla must ensure that demand justifies these costs.

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Moreover, let’s not forget that smaller segments often yield less profit compared to their larger, more premium counterparts due to the razor-thin margins involved. Factor in the protracted development and testing phases – hard lessons learned from the Cybertruck – and it becomes clear that this project requires careful consideration.

Uncertain market conditions for EV growth

Despite some positive signs in the US, the recent slump in Model 3 and Model Y sales, along with the sharp drop in overall EV registrations across Europe, serve as a reminder that nothing is guaranteed in this rapidly evolving environment. To meet its ambitious goal of selling 20 million vehicles annually by 2030, Tesla not only needs top-notch products at competitive prices, but also a favorable climate for EV popularity worldwide. Unfortunately for Elon Musk, predicting the latter is about as reliable as a fortune cookie.

Illustrations: Jean Francois Hubert/SB-Medien